Global Warming: El Niño to keep global temperatures 1.5 degrees higher till 2027
Geneva
As global warming continues to worsen heat wave conditions, El Nino conditions developed after 7 years in the Pacific Ocean is likely to keep global temperatures higher by 1.5 degree Celsius from 2023-27.
The findings on El Nino conditions affecting weather and storm patterns across the globe were revealed by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO).
As per WMO, El Nino conditions will be of moderate intensity and it is likely to continue in the second half of 2023.
“The onset of El Niño will greatly increase the likelihood of breaking temperature records and triggering more extreme heat across the world and in the ocean,” WMO Secretary-General Prof Petteri Taalas said.
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Taalas further said the WMO has pointed to 98 percent possibility of one or the next five years or five years as a whole will be the warmest on record in the world.
It has already beaten the 2016 record when the highest global average temperature of 16.9 degree Celsius was registered.
In 2023, the warmest-ever temperatures record was broken twice on 3 July and 4 July when 17 and 17.2 degree Celsius temperatures were respectively recorded.
The WMO has already called on world governments to mobilize efforts to minimize global warming effects on health, ecosystems and economies.
This is a wake-up call for all to streamline and accelerate efforts to curb the effects of global warming and climate change to limit it within the targets of the 2015 Paris Agreement.
The average global temperature in 2022 was about 1.15 degree Celsius above the 1850-1900 average because of the cooling triple-dip La Niña.
El Niño is a climate phenomenon that refers to the abnormal warming of ocean waters in the central and eastern tropical Pacific.
It typically occurs every few years and can have significant impacts on weather patterns around the world.
During an El Niño event, warm surface waters spread eastward along the equator, displacing the colder upwelling waters that are usually present in the eastern Pacific.
This shift in ocean temperatures has far-reaching effects on atmospheric circulation and weather systems.